✷ VGC MATCHUP LAB
by @andybrphy
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Grand Champions Festival

📅 April 25 2026
🤼 6109 Players
📑 Regulation M-A







The Weighted section is the average win percentage where each matchup is weighted by its number of games, so matchups played more often have a larger influence on the final result.

Solo Mega # is not including any dual Mega teams it appears on.
This list is restricted to the top 20 team archetypes from Phase 2 of the competition.

📈 best performance

31.58% conversion rate. 19 total ➜ 6 making Phase 2

57.89% win rate out of 380 games.

extremely positive matchup into the top 3 most popular Megas
with 58.82%, 73.33%, 71.43% win rates.

extremely positive matchup spread against common archetypes

struggles into Charizard Y & Floette (25% w/r), Gengar (33.33% w/r)
24.55% conversion rate. 110 total ➜ 27 making Phase 2

57.88% win rate out of 1078 games.

extremely positive matchup into the top 3 most popular Megas
with 52.38%, 69.14%, 62.00% win rates.

extremely positive matchup spread against common archetypes

struggles into Aerodactyl & Scovillain (25% w/r), Scizor (30.77% w/r)
27.59% conversion rate. 58 total ➜ 16 making Phase 2

58.89% win rate out of 540 games.

extremely positive matchup into the top 3 most popular Megas
with 54.55%, 59.52%, 78.57% win rates.

extremely positive matchup spread against common archetypes

struggles into Charizard Y & Floette (27.27% w/r), Charizard Y & Kangaskhan (33.33% w/r)

📉 worst performance

4.44% conversion rate. 225 total ➜ 10 making Phase 2

44.91% win rate out of 1590 games.

decent matchup into the top 3 most popular Megas
with 51.30%, 42.11%, 51.96% win rates.

somewhat positive matchup spread against common archetypes

struggles into Charizard Y & Floette (32.00% w/r), Aerodactyl & Scovillain (35.00% w/r)
5.79% conversion rate. 242 total ➜ 14 making Phase 2

45.35% win rate out of 1786 games.

positive matchup into the top 3 most popular Megas
with 49.57%, 60.84%, 55.67% win rates.

positive matchup spread against common archetypes

struggles into Floette teams – Floette (49.57% w/r), Charizard Y & Floette (25% w/r), Delphox & Floette (38.46% w/r)
6.71% conversion rate. 581 total ➜ 39 making Phase 2

48.92% win rate out of 4162 games.

neutral matchup into the top 3 most popular Megas
with 47.65%, 50% (the mirror), 50% win rates.

somewhat positive matchup spread against common archetypes

struggles into Charizard Y & Floette (28.40% w/r)

struggles into Aerodactyl teams – Aerodactyl & Scovillain (31.58% w/r), Aerodactyl & Froslass (33.96% w/r), Aerodactyl & Floette (29.03% w/r)

🔎 trends

Aerodactyl appears on 20% of the top Archetypes, but only as a secondary Mega option. It's notable that the other Mega options on these teams tend to have a weakness to Charizard Y.
Solo Charizard Y underperformed in this tournament, but clearly that is due to being overprepared for in the current meta. It appears as the secondary Mega option on three Archetypes that all performed well in the tournament – especially with Floette, taking 1st place.
While underperforming solo, Dragonite & Scizor showed an extremely favourable matchup spread against the field, with the only overwhelmingly negative matchups being to Charizard Y & Floette and Aerodactyl & Charizard Y.

about

I really wanted to have a way to see how certain team compositions pair into each other, so that's how this website came about. There are plenty of places to find top teams, but I wanted a tool to help with my own teambuilding process that can provide data that helps spot weakpoints in both the meta and individual teams.

In the video below, I explain how I got the data and setup the site.

credits

✷ website and data collection by andy brophy
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